PERENCANAAN PRODUKSI DENGAN MENGGUNAKAN METODE PERAMALAN UNTUK MENENTUKAN TOTAL PERMINTAAN KERIPIK PADA KERIPIK PISANG AZIZAH DI MAMBORO KECAMATAN PALU UTARA

The purpose of this study was to determine the effectiveness of forecasting results with the Double Moving Average and Double Exponential Smothing methods and to provide an overview of production planning in meeting the demand for chips in Azizah banana chips for the next 6 months. Determination of respondents in this study was carried out intentionally (Purposive) on the Azizah Banana Chips SME (Small and medium enterprises). To find out information about the banana chip production planning, it was carried out by directly interviewing the owners of the UKM with the consideration that the respondents knew the ins and outs of and how the business was run. The analytical method used in this study is the Double Moving Average and Double Exponential Smothing method. The results of the forecasting method that can be used in "Azizah Banana Chips Business" in determining consumer demand forecasting and having the lowest or near actual error rate is a 6-month double moving average with a value of Mean Absolute Deviation 10.85 and Mean Square Error 166.13, with the results forecast or forecast of consumer demand in the period January 2020 to June 2020 amounting to 198.05 kg / month; 193.52 kg / month; 191.42 kg / month; 182.39 kg / month; 181.84 kg / month and 188.90 kg / month of banana chips.The results of the demand forecast can be used as a plan for the production of chips in the period January 2020 to June 2020, with a total production of 198.05 kg / month; 193.52 kg / month; 191.42 kg / month; 182.39 kg / month; 181.84 kg / month and 188.90 kg / month of banana chips.